Analyst Views
Massive sell-off, The crisis roiling U.S. stocks went from bad to worse on Monday as the S&P 500 closed in a fresh bear market, complicating the next move by the Federal Reserve. The broadest measure of the stock market fell 3.9% or 151 points and is now off 22% from its Jan. 4 high of 4,796.56.
The selloff has erased over $9 trillion in market value, according to Bespoke Investment Group, that’s $1.2 trillion more than during the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 the firm detailed in a research note.
Bear Market Stats
The S&P 500 last entered a bear market on 3/12/2020 and hit its bottom on 3/23/2020. The index fell 33.9% from its peak to bear market low in its last bear market from 2/19/2020 to 3/23/2020. The average bear market sees a peak to bear market low decline of 33.2%, based on the median
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 16% this year, while the Nasdaq Composite has lost 31% through Monday.
Ticker |
Security |
Last |
Change |
Change % |
I:DJI |
DOW JONES AVERAGES |
30516.74 |
-876.05 |
-2.79% |
I:COMP |
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX |
10809.225307 |
-530.80 |
-4.68% |
Treasury yield, The bond market saw its own volatility as the two-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve briefly inverted early Monday morning, a known predictor of a recession. Both yields are sitting at 52-week highs of 3.379% and 3.371%, respectively.
FED Rate Decision, Falling stocks and rising yields come ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates due Wednesday. Investors also got word via a Wall Street Journal report released Monday afternoon that policymakers are reconsidering a 0.75% rate hike, in a possible surprise to the market.
The possible, more aggressive tightening cycle, also follows consumer inflation data for May that surged 8.6%, more than expected last week, and a possible producer price index reading, due Tuesday, that may hit 11%, according to economists' estimates.
Consumer assessments, "Consumers' assessments of their personal financial situation worsened about 20%. Forty-six percent of consumers attributed their negative views to inflation, up from 38% in May; this share has only been exceeded once since 1981, during the Great Recession" wrote Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu.
SPOT MARKET BY THE HOUR AS OF GMT 9:20 06-10-22
European Market, The investors' appetite is currently down with all Euro bourses negative across the board. London's FTSE declined by 0.02% to 7,204.65, Germany's DAX slide by 0.25% to 13,393.08 while France's CAC followed suit by 0.64% to 5,984.01.