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Trump Walks Fine Line on Abortion, but Allies and Activists Have Big Plans for a Second Term

June 14, 2024



Former President Donald Trump left the Capitol Hill Club in Washington, DC, on June 13, 2024, after a meeting with House Republicans. 


Few issues highlight the surprising nature of Donald Trump’s political success as much as abortion. Over the last twenty years, his public stance on this deeply divisive American cultural issue has varied significantly.

Trump has likened his shift on abortion to that of Republican icon and former President Ronald Reagan. By Election Day 2016, his evolution had led him to make unprecedented promises to anti-abortion advocates and allies.

And then he won. And he delivered.

A New York businessman and reality TV star who once openly supported abortion rights became, in his own words, “the most pro-life president in American history.” This rare statement from Trump is met with strong agreement from his supporters and vehement criticism from his opponents alike.

Trump’s three Supreme Court appointments led to the overturning of Roe v. Wade. Since the Supreme Court’s 2022 Dobbs decision, hundreds of lower-court judges appointed by Trump are influencing the legal landscape in an ongoing battle that has had significant electoral impacts: State-level ballot initiatives have largely resulted in victories for abortion rights supporters and, by extension, Democrats.

For Trump, who has carefully maintained the support of anti-abortion Christian conservatives, the political realities have necessitated a recalibration to minimise any political risk.

After months of public intrigue and internal campaign discussions on whether to support a nationwide abortion ban, Trump settled on an official position reminiscent of his previous vacillations.

“The states will determine by vote or legislation or perhaps both, and whatever they decide must be the law of the land,” Trump said in an April recording posted to his Truth Social platform.

This stance, which Trump has consistently reaffirmed, represents a shift from his earlier support for a nationwide prohibition at 20 weeks and rejects the demands of anti-abortion groups for a stricter ban.

This position was largely influenced by the recognition of the electoral dangers of a hard-line stance on abortion, according to three individuals who discussed the issue with Trump.

“This motivates Democrats like nothing else,” one of them said. “He sees it and isn’t going to fall into that trap.”

Trump's attempt to strike a delicate political balance was evident throughout the week. Speaking to a Christian group dedicated to "eradicating" abortion, Trump expressed support but only delivered brief, pre-taped remarks that avoided the term "abortion."

A few days later, in closed-door remarks with Republicans on Capitol Hill, Trump was clear about the political risks. These remarks coincided with the Supreme Court's rejection of an attempt by anti-abortion groups to restrict access to the abortion drug mifepristone.

Trump urged GOP lawmakers not to shy away from the abortion debate, a stance he believed cost Republicans as many as 40 seats in the midterm elections, according to a source present at the meeting.

“Republicans are so afraid of the issue,” Trump said, emphasizing the importance of supporting exceptions for rape, incest, and the health of the mother to counter Democratic portrayals of the GOP as "extreme" on reproductive rights.

Yet Trump’s position remains complex. While advocating for states' rights to pass their own regulations, he has criticized blue states with abortion protections and Republican-led states like Florida and Arizona for having overly restrictive measures.

This is an example of Trump’s rhetorical strategy on complex or politically sensitive issues, allowing himself room to change or backtrack if necessary. However, when it comes to abortion, this strategy presents challenges, as Trump now has a record after four years in office.
Source: https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/14/politics/abortion-agenda-donald-trump
Image:https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/14/politics/abortion-agenda-donald-trump