The fertility rate in England and Wales has reached a historic low, with the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) dropping to 1.44 children per woman in 2023, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This figure marks the lowest since records began in 1938, following a steady decline that started in 2010. In 2023, there were 591,072 live births, the fewest since 1977.
For population replacement, a TFR of 2.1 children per woman is generally required. The current rate falls well below this threshold, reflecting demographic trends seen in other developed countries, where factors such as economic considerations, changing societal norms, and shifting family dynamics are influencing birth rates.
The ONS data also showed that this is part of a broader trend, with the TFR dropping from 1.55 in 2021 to 1.49 in 2022.
The decline raises questions about the potential long-term impacts on workforce size, social support systems, and economic growth, as lower birth rates may ultimately lead to an aging population.
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The Guardian